marjorie says...
It's all over the "news" this morning about the new O.J. Simpson book coming out in which he "hypothetically" describes how the murder would have happened "if" he had killed his wife Nicole.
You know, this book is utterly crass but that will be covered plenty so I won't go into it here.
The most interesting thing to me about this is how its covered as "news." There are certain news sources that tell us point blank what it really is, like this Washington Post article, by Lisa de Moraes:
"And, in one of those incredible coincidences that make covering the TV industry so fulfilling, the book is being published under the Regan imprint, headed by Judith Regan, who will conduct the interview with O.J. on Fox. And her publishing outfit, ReganBooks, is a division of HarperCollins, which is owned by News Corp. -- which also owns Fox!"
Ok, just to make sure everyone gets that:
News Corp. owns Fox and the publisher of this book, Regen Imprint. The book is coming out just in time for Christmas sales and Fox is promoting the book under the guise of "News" when it airs an "interview" with O.J. Simpson, as news...
There are other news sources that give us this tidbit as well, and to be honest, I don't really know how its being covered on the T.V. "news" outlets of choice for most Americans. Please, somebody tell me.
What is news really, for me, is the fact that so many "news" outlets are covering this as "news"...rather than the corporate money making venture that it is...just like any new product coming in time for our Christmas love affair with material goods. Just skim through all the "news" articles today and you'll see what I mean. In one after the next, the reporter never mentions the money angle...see for yourself here, here, and here.
Fox represents the utter corruption of the concept of News. Here we have a station that mixes shows with so-called news "commentators" and "experts" who are blatantly biased with these types of completely gross entertainment pieces masquerading as news. What kills me is how it reverberates throughout the "news" world, with bonafide outlets simply picking up the schtick and running with it.
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
what exactly is news?
Labels: media
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Did Bush try to suspend the election?
Mikaela ponders:
Is it just me, or does this point to the fact that Bush contemplated -- or at least asked about -- not allowing the election, since we're "at war"?
Mikaela reposts courtesy Democracy Now:
Bush: Nation Should Be Proud Elections Were Held in Time of War
Over the weekend President Bush gave his first weekly radio address since the mid-term elections. He said the country should be proud that the elections were held even though the county is in a war.
- President Bush: "One freedom that defines our way of life is the freedom to choose our leaders at the ballot box. We saw that freedom earlier this week, when millions of Americans went to the polls to cast their votes for a new Congress. Whatever your opinion of the outcome, all Americans can take pride in the example our democracy sets for the world by holding elections even in a time of war."
Labels: election '06, politics, war
Monday, November 13, 2006
Save Indie Community Radio in NM!
Mikaela summarizes:
First ClearChannel bought KBAC, then they watered down its programming.
Now they're selling it to a company that will change it to a Christian broadcasting station.
Below is a letter urging you to action to protest the sale and save this long-loved local community station. Time is of the essence.
Mikaela edits & re-posts courtesy Friends of KBAC, Radio Free Santa Fe:
KBAC
has been making a difference in the LIVES of the community
11 years now.
It is time we as a community gave KBAC the same support.
RADIO STATIONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
ARE BEING BOUGHT UP BUY BIG RADIO COMPANIES, REGARDLESS OF HOW COMMUNITIES FEEL.
THIS NEEDS TO STOP!
COMMUNITIES NEED TO BECOME MORE INVOLVED
AND GET BACK OUR LOCAL COMMUNITY RADIO STATIONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY
STARTING WITH KBAC!
Who is buying this station?
Clear Channel is in process of selling KBAC to a Christian Broadcasting Company, EMF Broadcasting out of Rocklin, California.Who to write?
I encourage you to write letters and/or fax and EMAIL to the following addresses to air your opinions and get others in the community to do the same. Your letters will make a difference AND please make sure that a copy of your letter gets sent to Friends of KBAC, 223 North Guadalupe #533, Santa Fe, NM, 87501 so that we have a copy on file to send out as well when I write the FCC to protest this sale.WRITE, EMAIL, FAX ALL NAMES BELOW
(especially Mr. DICK JENKINS, CEO, EMF Broadcasting).
FLOOD THEM WITH YOUR LETTERS.
THAT IS THE ONLY WAY WE CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE.
IT ONLY TAKES A FEW MOMENTS TO WRITE A LETTER.
and
IF YOU COULD PASS INFORMATION ALONG to others,THAT WOULD HELP TOO
EMF Broadcasting,
Attention: Mr. Joe Miller, VP
email : jmiller@emfbroadcasting.com
Attention: Mr. Dick Jenkins, CEO
email : djenkins@emfbroadcasting.com
5700 West Oaks Blvd, Rocklin, CA 95765
Phone: 916.251.1600; Fax: 916.251.1650
and, go right to the source...
Clear Channel Communications
John Hogan, President & CEO
email : johnhogan@clearchannel.com
Clear Channel Radio, Clear Channel Communications, Inc.
200 East Basse, San Antonio, TX, 78209
email : johnhogan@clearchannel.com
Jerry Kersting, Acquisitions
email : jkersting@clearchannel.com
Phone : 210.822.2828 / fax : 210.822.2299
and closer to home
Mr. Chuck Hammond, VP Sales, NM Market
email : ChuckHammond@clearchannel.com (Albuquerque Office)
Phone: 505.830.6400 / fax : 505.830.6599
5411 Jefferson NE, #100, Albuquerque, NM, 87109
but WHY stop there?
Governor Bill Richardson / MAIL: Office of the Governor,
Attention : Annette Sedillo, State Capital #400, SFE, NM, 87501
EMAIL : annettet.sedillo@state.nm.us / FAX: 505.476.2226
Mayor David Coss / MAIL : Mayor David Coss,
Attention : Marge Sandoval, 200 Lincoln Ave, SFE, NM, 87501
EMAIL : mdsandoval@santafenm.gov / FAX : 505.955.6683
Senator Bingaman / MAIL : 119 East Marcy Street, SFE, NM, 87501, Attention : Landri Rush / EMAIL : landri_rush@bingaman.senate.gov / FAX : 505.992.8435
FCC Commissioner Tate / MAIL : Commissioner Tate,
Attention : Susan Fifenne, 445 12th Street SW, Washington, DC 20554 / EMAIL : susan.fifenne@fcc.gov / FAX 866.418.0232
Attention : Chris Robbins, Media Advisor to Commissioner Tate /
EMAIL : Chris.robbins@fcc.gov
What is going to happen?
Friends of KBAC plans on protesting this sale, BUT WE CAN'T DO IT ALONE. WE NEED YOU, THE COMMUNITY. When this sale becomes official on the FCC docket, we plan on fighting this sale to preserve the "REAL LOCAL" community radio station and its unique format with your help. If this sale does not go through, there will be an opportunity for the local management of KBAC to purchase the station. This would "FREE" KBAC once and for all from Clear Channel. The raised voices of the Santa Fe community are needed to prevent this sale as we as a community will have only 30 days to voice our opinions once this sale hits the FCC.
NOW
IS THE TIME TO WRITE, FAX, EMAIL AND VOICE YOUR OPINIONS.
How can YOU show your IMMEDIATE support?
Friends of KBAC will be needing volunteers, as we are going to need as many signatures and letters as we can get, so if you feel moved to become more involved and can spare a block of time, please contact Friends of KBAC at the email address below.Thank you,
Skye Rivers, FRIENDS OF KBAC @ friendsofkbac.com
Sunday, November 12, 2006
Targeting God
Mikaela says:
Despite a new power balance in Congress, we're facing a time of more rampant religious warring in our own country and around the globe.
Fanatics on all sides are being roundly, and perhaps rightly, excoriated for intolerance, fear-mongering, prejudice, and violence.
But let's remember that religion itself is not to blame. Just as all things not taken in moderation can lead to imbalance and disaster, a little belief goes a long way. Believing in the support of a kind, generous, charitable faith community is a good thing. Advocating for a singular definition of the saved and the damned or the good and the evil or believers and non-believers -- well, that's where it becomes dangerous.
Interestingly, despite the Republican co-optation of the religious right as the keepers of all things "moral," American do not in fact have a singular belief in God. An overwhelming majority of Americans do believe in God, just not in the same one. Nor do they agree about how to behave to keep this God happy, if that's even possible, or the extent to which God is involved in our day-to-day lives.
Researchers at Baylor University found that Americans' images of God fall into four categories, which align miraculously, one might say, with particular regions of the country and with voting patterns.
- The South: "Authoritative God" who has strict rules and punishes -- conservative voters (33%)
- The West: "Distant God" who created the universe but isn't involved now -- liberal voters (24%)
- The Midwest: "Benevolent God" who believes in kindness and chartity -- moderate voters (23%)
- The Northeast: "Critical God" who is judgemental but doesn't intervene -- independent and economic conservative voters (16%)
Do we see harbingers of the time when political strategists market God images to attract voters? That might be a whole, huge can of wriggly worms.
On the positive side, we might begin to understand that as a country full of believers (92% of us), we need as much freedom to pursue our own gods as we need freedom to be all different colors, multiple genders, and the whole spectrum of political beliefs. Perhaps out of desperation, politicians will be forced to concede that their gods, and the gods of those they represent, must coexist with other ideas in order to get elected and rule with justice and compassion in the service of peace and community. Can I get an amen?At the very least, even if Americans can't accept or acknowledge that different beliefs co-exist within our country, we can try to remember that our own level of religious belief is NOT like the rest of the world. Each country has its own compendium of beliefs, percentage of believers, and spectrum of fanaticism. Understanding ourselves better would take us a long way toward opening the door for an understanding and tolerance of others. Religions teach community; they can model peace. May we learn to live together and support each person's right to believe. Our lives depend on it, no matter what you believe.


Compiled from: Encyclopedia Britanica's Adherents of All Religions by Six Continents

Source: World Religions Project (Click here for full resolution PDF version)
Labels: religion
Saturday, November 11, 2006
Saturday morning goodness
Maggie reposts, courtesy of The Nation:
It's Over for Bush
The year 2006 will long be remembered as the Great Retribution--or perhaps the Deliverance Election. George W. Bush's presidency is toast. Bush's potential to further harm the Republic has been greatly reduced. Most Americans stopped believing anything he said a good while back. This was their opportunity to tell him to his face. And they did, with such force and breadth that maybe even he and his cronies heard them.
Much credit goes to the voters and the Democratic Party. Not many off-year elections move history in a fundamental way, but this one did. Americans have elected an opposition that can now check the Administration's destructive policies and investigate its actions at home and abroad, while at the same time putting forth policies that begin to reverse the damage of the past six years.
Read the rest here.
Labels: election '06, politics
Thursday, November 09, 2006
who is it, again, that needs to put up or shut up?
marjorie says...
You know what's both amusing and annoying to me in the aftermath of the Democratic sweep of Congress? All the "put up or shut up" talk in the media. As if the Republican control of our government over the past six years hasn't been one of the worst examples ever of gross mismanagement. We have an enormous debt that we might never crawl out from under, a war gone disastrously wrong (not that it was ever right) with almost 3000 U.S. troops and untold number of Iraqi's dead, huge tax cuts for the super rich, a wall reminiscent of Berlin being built on our border and a judiciary well on its way to being stacked with ideological reactionaries.
Let's take the issue of judicial nominees to illustrate my point. In this article, we have a political analyst from CBS, Andrew Cohen, saying this:
"But Senate Democrats will face their own pressure points if and when Webb prevails. No longer will they be able, politically anyway, to threaten to filibuster when the President appoints federal judges. If they obtain their majority, they will have a responsibility to fill the many vacancies on the federal bench-- some that have existed for years. If they balk at this job they will subject themselves to an honest charge of obstructionism, the opposite of what they pledged to do on election night when the extent of their victory became clear.
"There is an opportunity now, I believe, for real progress on the judicial nomination front, which has been mired for years in rank partisan conflict. The President has to know from these election results that he must govern with a more moderate focus. And if Webb prevails in Virginia Senate Democrats have to know that their newfound power brings with it newfound responsibilities to ensure that our federal judiciary is up and running at full speed, with many fewer vacancies than it now has. The moment is here. Let's see what the politicians can do with it. "
Where does CBS find its political analysts? No, the Democrats won't be able to filibuster any longer, they'll be able to flat out stop the stacking of the courts. And if the Republicans threaten to filibuster, the Democrats can do what they did...remember?? Of course, we all know the Democrats don't have that kind of hard ball in them.
As for the vacancies on the federal bench...who's responsibility is that, again? The Republicans had control of the Congress for 12 long years. Let's not forget that. What is this fellow talking about..."if they balk at this job"?? Something tells me that if Bush sends middle of the road judges to a Democratically controlled congress, that bench will get filled up quick...unlike the behavior of the Republican congress under Clinton or Bush. The Republicans held up the vast majority of Clinton's nominees and who can forget Harriet Miers??
This type of analysis is a good example of what is rampant in American politics...speaking and acting as if there was no yesterday. But nothing ever operates in a vacuum...and we can't judge today or predict tomorrow unless we have a good handle on that.
Labels: election '06, politics
Wednesday, November 08, 2006
Not so fast, Heather
Maggie says:
Today's going so well I'm bound to believe that anything can happen!
"Madrid Cuts Wilson's Lead"
Democrat picks up votes in latest Bernalillo County tally.
Although Democratic challenger Patricia Madrid leads incumbent Republican Rep. Heather Wilson in populous Bernalillo county by 700 votes, Madrid trails Wilson by 1,048 votes overall in the five counties that make up the 1st Congressional District, according to the latest roundup by the Associated Press.
But still to be counted are 4,850 ballots in Bernalillo County that were kicked out of machines and must be hand-tallied, County Clerk Mary Herrera told reporters this morning.
Full story here.
Labels: election '06, local politics, politics
Best thing about today...
Maggie says:
...was just calling my dad at his job site - far away from breaking news - to tell him that not only is Rumsfeld resigning, but that Jon Tester just officially won Montana.
There was a whoop, and a cheer, and a laugh, and then this question:
"Has W resigned yet?"
What an amazing day!!!
Labels: election '06, politics
Post Election Musings
marjorie says...
It was a very long day yesterday, so I came to work a little late. As I'm settling in here there are several things running through my mind.
Before I get to New Mexico, can I just first note the incredible moment in Nicarauga? Yes. Daniel Ortega is the new President Elect of that country. I don't have any observations to make about Ortega or what kind of impact two decades have had on the Sandinistas. Clearly they have had to change a lot. But in this moment, I think its amazing, simply amazing...that the heart-breaking Sandinista's are back. And this also represents one more domino in the resurgence of leftist governments in Latin America.
Also, KUDOS to South Dakota!!! While these mid-term elections are BIG on the congressional front, this electoral battle clearly shows the American mind-set about a woman's right to control her own body.
Now...on to the congressional races. Regardless of what happens here in NM-District 1, we can all breathe a huge sigh of relief that our federal government is no longer controlled by crazy right wingers. Because let's face it, the House is the place most of the real ones end up. I still don't think much will change, but am looking forward to watching the Democrats.
As for NM-District 1...how is it that we have such a razor thin margin here? Well, I think its due to the military presence, which represents a large pool of people who do go out and vote. We have a lot of work to do to counteract that presence if we want to send a Democrat to the House. It'll be very interesting to see how the numbers break down by precinct in the coming days.
Labels: election '06, latin america, local politics, politics
Day-after pulse check
Maggie asks:
So how's everyone feeling this morning?
Labels: election '06, politics
Home now, but...
Maggie admits:
...still watching. Can't break away.
The Senate seems so close, so real!
Marjorie and I left the party in a glum state after Wilson's press conference, so now I'm asking myself how bittersweet a Madrid loss would be with all these other amazing gains.
Of course, we never know until we know... But these numbers have spoken tonight, all around the world. And that makes me proud. I know the effort and heart and soul behind the Madrid campaign, that they tried their very best, and they were part of this sea change tonight, part of its spirit. But if that race doesn't prevail, it's gotta be okay. Tonight is bigger than one race, bigger than two candidates.
The larger battle has been won handily tonight, and Americans have spoken. That's the real victory, whatever happens with NM-01.
Optimism update, courtesy of Gene Grant: Lots and lots of ballots to hand count tonight. It's bigger than conservative precincts.
Labels: election '06, local politics, politics
Here, but...
Maggie says:
...freaking out, as Marjorie noted.
My insides are on a crash course between optimism and cynicism. The three Senate races left - Missouri, Montana, and Virginia - are all ones I called Dem, and we're still ahead in all three. But could we really take all three? Oh my.
As for NM-01... my stomach is in knots. I seriously felt like I was going to throw up a minute ago. That feeling, the deja vu of bad things about to happen, isn't something I wanted to go back to tonight. The caveat is that the House is ours, thank goodness. But yeah... hiding out here in the dark, quiet press room is about all I can take right now. The cheering through the wall makes my stomach knot up even more.
It's been fun watching Big Bill do his press thing back here. Richardson was my commencement speaker when I graduated from college in Boston... how weird is that? Small world.
C'mon, Senate. C'mon.
Update: Uh oh. Heather just announced that the precincts left are all conservative ones. If that's true, Madrid's done.
Labels: election '06, local politics, politics
Tuesday, November 07, 2006
patsy! patsy! patsy!
marjorie says...
that's what i'm hearing on the other side of the wall.
it's razor thin!!!
Labels: election '06, local politics
where's maggie?
marjorie says...
In case any of you were wondering, Maggie is sitting right here with me in the press room (Sophie from fabulous Duke City Fix is here too). Unfortunately, my fellow M can't stop biting her nails long enough to post on m-pyre. But never fear...she'll surface any minute.
Labels: election '06
Hanging with the press corp
marjorie says...
I think my fellow M's as well as the other bloggers here tonight will agree that it is very cool to be included in the press room. Especially for us photo hounds...
Labels: election '06
Dems are on FIRE!!
marjorie says...
and here's live:
Yep, that's Bill. I think just about every Democrat in the state must be here tonight. The energy at the Hotel Albuquerque at the moment is intense...there's a very large crowd and a lot of very happy people.
And they should be...an incredible amount of hard work went into taking back the Congress this year...and it looks as though the House at least has finally come back to the Democrats. All I can say is...it's about freakin' time America!!!!
I'm in the press room right now, sitting close to the fellow in the white shirt:
Its quiet in here, as all good press rooms should be...but we can hear the party in full swing just on the other side of that wall. While I've never been much of a party person, it's been nice to see some of my political friends here tonight, in all there glory. Here are some of my favorites:
I'm glad I took this picture for a couple reasons. First, I'm glad I can finally mention Bernadette with an actual picture. Bernadette Miera (seated) and her husband State Representative Rick Miera (standing) live down the road from Mikaela and I, and are the driving force behind our Halloween gala street event every year. I know I digress but I can't help it. Second, I get to show you all a picture of Teresa Cordova (standing), Bernalillo County Commissioner and very good friend of m-pyre. You see, Teresa is also a professor in the Planning school, and I for one would not have made it through the program without her.
On that note...I think I'll go back to the party now...more to come in a bit.
Labels: election '06, local politics
Almost Live: Ms (w/ dems) watch returns via Messenger
Mjae: yo ladies
Marjorie: wish you were here!
Maggie: just got another house seat!
Mjae: Who?
Maggie: NH-02
Mjae: Which station u watching?
Maggie: that was from cnn.com
Mjae: Interesting that TV calls things much earlier than newspapers
Maggie: yes, npr is lagging too... i keep surprising dad with the latest
Marjorie: these days they shouldn't call early...
Maggie: he's a die-hard NPRer
Mjae: yes, but that's momentum for them now and intrigue later when they change their call
Mjae: Marketing!
Mjae: At least on CBS Katie Couric is a continuous woman's presence
Mjae: The other stations are driving me nuts w/ men men men
Marjorie: that's true
Marjorie: all men...
Mjae: And CBS is a panel of 6 men, one of color -- and he's Republican!
Mjae: Ridiculous
Maggie: yikes
Maggie: although not the biggest katie fan.. she's alright i guess
Mjae: agreed
Marjorie: at that level they're plastic
Mjae: yup
Mjae: but there are LOTS more women getting interviewed because she's there
Mjae: Marked difference
Marjorie: that's good...
Mjae: They're talking about "women's rights" now -- highlighting races where both men were antichoice
Mjae: Here's another question. What's up w/ the standardized Republican elephant, whereas every station has that damn ass doing something different?
Mjae: CNN has it rearing up
Mjae: CBS has it avoiding stepping in shit or some damn thing
Mjae: So weird
Maggie: 5th pickup in the house!
Maggie: OH-18
Mjae: WaPo has 7 pickups
Mjae: CBS is listing 11 so far
Mjae: Trying to find WaPo's list
Mjae: Harder than it should be
Maggie: Marjorie and i bursting at the seams with the hypocrisy of the republican commentators on gene's show right now
Mjae: KY-3 (Yarmuth), ID-9 (Hill), ID-8 (Ellsworth), ID-2 (Donnelly), OH-18 (Space), CT-5 (Murphy), NC-11 (Shuler)
Maggie: NBC projects Democrats take control of the House
Maggie: and if you're working on your spreadsheets, losses are FL-13, KEN-04, and VA-02
Mjae: Marriage prop. in AZ losing
Mjae: Anti-immigration props losing
Marjorie: i love my nerdy blogging friends. you realize i hope that i can't even dig into these numbers right now like the two of you
Marjorie: give me everything in a nutshell tonight
Mjae: Looking good in a nutshell
Mjae: knock knock knock
Marjorie: LOL!! awesome!!
Mjae: Can't even stand watching Fox right now
Marjorie: yeah, i think Fox would make me >>>
Mjae: Ok, CNN added a woman, but she's ... not a sexy woman. Androgynous
Mjae: Not sure if that's better or worse than plastic
Marjorie: by golly..we want a hoochie cooch!
Mjae: Predicting CT to Democrats in House District 5
Mjae: No, just a full woman
Maggie: ok, we are off to PARTY!
Mjae: Have fun ladies. Wear my nametag on a bag or something
Marjorie: shall we put it on our forehead?
Mjae: Graff for AZ
Mjae: House 8
Mjae: No, wouldn't want false advertising, Marj!
Marjorie:
Mjae: Hill for IN-9
Mjae: Gillibrand for NY House 20
Marjorie: ok...i'm over and out.
Mjae: bye
Marjorie: bye mik!
Labels: election '06, politics
That Gene Grant magic
Maggie laughs:
Gene will cringe at that headline, but I can't help it, because Gene's one of my favorite people in town (okay, on the planet). Plus, the man just is magic, isn't he, Albuquerque? So since he's so magical, you KNOW you want to watch him do his thang (as he always says) on KNME, Channel 5, TONIGHT!
Here are the details for the show:
ELECT NEW MEXICO 2006: Decision Day
7:00 - 9:00
Host: Gene Grant
Panel: Margaret Montoya, Whitney Cheshire, Steve Lawrence, and Mario Burgos
Guests: Michael Rocca, Timothy Krebs, and Lonna Atkeson from the UNM Political Science Department
Featuring:
- A segment with Matt Farrauto from the Ds and George Buffet from the Rs, along with student reps from each party
- Gene's interview with Nancy Pelosi and another with Roy Blunt
- A blogger segment with Scot Key, Mario Burgos, and Sophie Martin
- Cut-ins from the BBC and the Newshour
- Tape of a mock debate at Jefferson Middle School (Scot Key's class!) between Wilson and Madrid
Now that's just too much fun for two hours, isn't it?!
Labels: election '06, M-friends
Election 2006: Dare I predict?
Maggie says:
...Nope. Well okay, but only a little bit. :-)
Local races are too personal, too (literally) close to home, too big, too... everything. So instead, I hide in the national races, perfect for my wonky, big-picture sensibilities. Yet as we know, all politics are local, so here are the only things I'll say about in-town races:
- Voting is a breeze. Been getting calls from friends all day who say they were in and out of their polling place in record time. There was so much angst over those long early voting lines, but let's face it: twelve voting locations for an entire city = lines; citywide voting locations = decentralized ease. So go vote! I'll be heading over in an hour or so myself...
- Sorry, Mary. I'd already decided I just couldn't bring myself to vote for Mary Herrera for Secretary of State, and then I saw the Alibi "endorsement" of neither candidate and busted out laughing. I'm leaving that one blank; I just have to. People I care about are confident she'll be a fine Secretary of State, and I know she's from the Valley and all... but as a Bernalillo County voter for the last four years, I'm not exactly confident. Enough said.
- Poor Jim. The Land Commissioner race really disappoints me... and I agree with other local bloggers who say it points to the disconnect folks have between environmentalism and their own lives. This gap will continue to get wider as our environmental problems worsen, and we should all worry about that. Baca v. Lyons represented such a clear choice between philosophies, and I really regret that the majority of New Mexicans seems to be favoring an oil/gas/sprawl man rather than a true advocate for public land.
- Madrid/Wilson. Can't do it, and those of you who know, you know why... It'll be tight, and it'll all depend on turnout, and that's about all I can say right now.
Whew! This is where I'm much more comfortable... I've spent a week doing not much besides obsessing over the latest polls and reading way too much about candidates whose names I'll promptly forget tomorrow, so it's time for tonight to HAPPEN already.
If you're unlucky enough to be on my e-mail distribution list, you already received my exhaustively nerdy House and Senate spreadsheets, where thanks to the goodness of Pollster I've compiled averages of all the latest polls per race along with an outcome category: "Lean Dem," "Toss-up," etc. Going through the numbers race by race, it's hard not to foresee huge Democratic victories tonight... But being realistic, I'm not going to go all-out rosy in my predictions. So here we go:
- House. I'm going to go with 25 pickups. Look through Pollster yourself and you'll see how astronomical some predictions could be, simply based on the lastest polls. But haven't we all been disappointed enough in the past few years by predictions v. outcome? This time I'm choosing to be pleasantly surprised tonight... hopefully. 25 seems reasonable.
- Senate. This will be verrrrry interesting to watch tonight. My prediction is picking up 5 seats, but I can't break that number down at all. Race-by-race I've chosen six pickups, the magic number. Yet I know one of them will fall, one of them will be the "should have won" race that just won't be able to pull it off in the end. Which, I don't know. But I love McCaskill's spunk and Jon Tester makes me want to move to Montana just to vote for him, so how could I predict one of them going down? I've lost hope for Ford in Tennessee, but I'm still predicting Dem wins in Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Virginia. I could see Rhode Island falling, maybe... Not sure, but one of them likely will, and we'll get five. And that's not a number to be ashamed of.
It's going to be a long night... but a fun one, I hope.
I want to wake up tomorrow and SMILE... don't you?
Labels: election '06, local politics, M-friends, politics






